SPARKSFootball intelligence

Ararat Armenia vs AZ prediction

Ararat Armenia
VSCaptured 21 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
AZ
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Ararat Armenia16.8%5.94
Draw21.0%4.75
AZ62.1%1.61
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Ararat Armenia

Fair probability16.8%

Fair odds (decimal)5.94

Draw

Fair probability21.0%

Fair odds (decimal)4.75

AZ

Fair probability62.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.61

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 21 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability60.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.65

Under

Fair probability39.5%

Fair odds (decimal)2.53

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 21 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability39.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.51

Under

Fair probability60.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.66

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 21 Oct 2026, 00:00 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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