SPARKSFootball intelligence
England Premier LeagueArchived snapshot

Arsenal vs Everton prediction

Arsenal
2–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Everton
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Arsenal65.9%1.52
Draw20.9%4.78
Everton13.1%7.61
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Arsenal

Fair probability65.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.52

Draw

Fair probability20.9%

Fair odds (decimal)4.78

Everton

Fair probability13.1%

Fair odds (decimal)7.61

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Arsenal · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Everton · Did not occur
7 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability53.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.87

Under

Fair probability46.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.14

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 7 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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