Match winner
Aston Villa
Fair probability20.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.88
Draw
Fair probability21.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.64
Man City
Fair probability58.0%
Fair odds (decimal)1.72
No recorded probability history available for this match.
Fair probability20.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.88
Fair probability21.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.64
Fair probability58.0%
Fair odds (decimal)1.72
Fair probability66.7%
Fair odds (decimal)1.50
Fair probability33.3%
Fair odds (decimal)3.00
Fair probability47.2%
Fair odds (decimal)2.12
Fair probability52.8%
Fair odds (decimal)1.89
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
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