Public match outlook · Italy Serie A

Atalanta vs Venezia Prediction & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture · Market snapshot captured 10 Oct 2026, 21:43 UTC

Captured Refresh overdue · historical prices
Ask SmartSparks about this match
16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS
Atalanta60.3%1.66
Draw22.5%4.44
Venezia17.2%5.81
ProbabilityFair odds · reciprocalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 10 Oct 2026, 20:55 UTC
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS
Over60.1%1.66
Under39.9%2.51
ProbabilityFair odds · reciprocalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 10 Oct 2026, 20:55 UTC
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS
Over40.9%2.44
Under59.1%1.69
ProbabilityFair odds · reciprocalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 10 Oct 2026, 20:55 UTC
Probability history

How the market moved

Retained probability history is not published on this page. Open Match Explorer or Ask when history evidence is available for this fixture — no sample chart is shown.

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

Methodology

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

Inspect bookmaker prices in Market Explorer →

Continue your research

Ask SmartSparks about this matchInspect this match’s bookmaker prices →More Italy Serie A predictions →Read market research →

Related fixtures

Fixture list with market probabilities. Open a match for full fair odds.

Italy Serie A

  • Como vs Roma · Home 37.7% / Draw 27.0% / Away 35.4%
  • Lecce vs Bologna · Home 22.4% / Draw 28.7% / Away 48.9%
  • Lazio vs Monza · Home 58.0% / Draw 24.2% / Away 17.9%