SPARKSFootball intelligence
Mexico Liga MXArchived snapshot

Atlas vs Puebla prediction

Atlas
4–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Puebla
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Atlas53.8%1.86
Draw25.1%3.98
Puebla21.1%4.75
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Atlas

Fair probability53.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.86

Draw

Fair probability25.1%

Fair odds (decimal)3.98

Puebla

Fair probability21.1%

Fair odds (decimal)4.75

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Atlas · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Puebla · Did not occur
11 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability52.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.92

Under

Fair probability48.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.08

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 11 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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