SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction

Augsburg
1–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Union Berlin
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Augsburg53.4%1.87
Draw23.3%4.29
Union Berlin23.2%4.30
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Augsburg

Fair probability53.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.87

Draw

Fair probability23.3%

Fair odds (decimal)4.29

Union Berlin

Fair probability23.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.30

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Augsburg · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Union Berlin · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability65.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.54

Under

Fair probability35.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.85

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability44.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.24

Under

Fair probability55.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.81

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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