SPARKSFootball intelligence
France Ligue 1Archived snapshot

Auxerre vs Le Mans prediction

Auxerre
1–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Le Mans
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Auxerre45.1%2.22
Draw26.3%3.80
Le Mans28.5%3.51
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Auxerre

Fair probability45.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.22

Draw

Fair probability26.3%

Fair odds (decimal)3.80

Le Mans

Fair probability28.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.51

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Auxerre · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Le Mans · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability55.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.80

Under

Fair probability44.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.26

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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