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Italy Serie BArchived snapshot

Avellino vs Padova prediction

Avellino
0–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Padova
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Avellino42.5%2.35
Draw29.8%3.36
Padova27.7%3.60
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Avellino

Fair probability42.5%

Fair odds (decimal)2.35

Draw

Fair probability29.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.36

Padova

Fair probability27.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.60

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Avellino · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Padova · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability44.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.24

Under

Fair probability55.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.81

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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