Brazil Serie A

Botafogo vs Vasco da Gama
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Archived pre-match probabilities

Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds

Match winner

16 bookmakers

Botafogo

31.4%
Fair odds
3.19
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
30.6%–33.5%

Draw

26.6%
Fair odds
3.76
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
25.4%–28.0%

Vasco da Gama

42.0%
Fair odds
2.38
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
40.2%–43.1%

Oldest contributing quote: 7 Oct 2026, 22:10 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

5 bookmakers

Over

57.6%
Fair odds
1.74
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
56.3%–58.2%

Under

42.4%
Fair odds
2.36
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
41.8%–43.7%

Oldest contributing quote: 7 Oct 2026, 22:10 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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