SPARKSFootball intelligence
Italy Serie AArchived snapshot

Cagliari vs Bologna prediction

Cagliari
0–2Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Bologna
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Cagliari32.3%3.10
Draw31.7%3.15
Bologna36.0%2.78
Ask SmartSparks about this match

Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Cagliari

Fair probability32.3%

Fair odds (decimal)3.10

Draw

Fair probability31.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.15

Bologna

Fair probability36.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.78

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Cagliari · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Bologna · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability42.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.38

Under

Fair probability57.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

Inspect bookmaker prices in Market Explorer →

Continue your research

Ask SmartSparks about this matchInspect this match’s bookmaker prices →More Italy Serie A predictions →