SPARKSFootball intelligence
England ChampionshipArchived snapshot

Cardiff vs Birmingham prediction

Cardiff
1–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Birmingham
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Cardiff34.8%2.87
Draw25.5%3.93
Birmingham39.7%2.52
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Cardiff

Fair probability34.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.87

Draw

Fair probability25.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.93

Birmingham

Fair probability39.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.52

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Cardiff · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Birmingham · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability62.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.59

Under

Fair probability37.2%

Fair odds (decimal)2.69

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability42.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.37

Under

Fair probability57.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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