SPARKSODDS
Snapshot archiveUpdated 1h 18m ago

Portugal Primeira Liga

Casa Pia vs Santa Clara
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Pre-match market snapshot

Match winner

16 bookmakers

Casa Pia

21.6%
Fair odds
4.64
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
19.9%–22.0%

Draw

28.6%
Fair odds
3.49
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
27.1%–29.4%

Santa Clara

49.8%
Fair odds
2.01
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
49.0%–52.1%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

5 bookmakers

Over

40.6%
Fair odds
2.46
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
39.9%–41.0%

Under

59.4%
Fair odds
1.68
Bookmakers
5
Book probability range
59.0%–60.1%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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Portugal Primeira Liga