SPARKSODDS
Snapshot archiveUpdated 1h 14m ago

Spain La Liga

CD Alaves vs Atletico Madrid
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Pre-match market snapshot

Match winner

16 bookmakers

CD Alaves

21.9%
Fair odds
4.57
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
21.0%–22.6%

Draw

25.5%
Fair odds
3.92
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
24.2%–26.1%

Atletico Madrid

52.6%
Fair odds
1.90
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
51.7%–54.7%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

11 bookmakers

Over

51.9%
Fair odds
1.93
Bookmakers
11
Book probability range
50.9%–52.5%

Under

48.1%
Fair odds
2.08
Bookmakers
11
Book probability range
47.5%–49.1%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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