SPARKSFootball intelligence

Darmstadt vs St Pauli prediction

Darmstadt
VSCaptured 21 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
St Pauli
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Darmstadt30.2%3.31
Draw26.7%3.74
St Pauli43.0%2.32
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Darmstadt

Fair probability30.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.31

Draw

Fair probability26.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.74

St Pauli

Fair probability43.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.32

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 21 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability55.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.81

Under

Fair probability44.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.23

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 21 Oct 2026, 19:15 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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