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Portugal Primeira LigaArchived snapshot

Estoril vs Moreirense prediction

Estoril
1–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Moreirense
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Estoril48.2%2.08
Draw26.8%3.73
Moreirense25.0%4.00
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Estoril

Fair probability48.2%

Fair odds (decimal)2.08

Draw

Fair probability26.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.73

Moreirense

Fair probability25.0%

Fair odds (decimal)4.00

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Estoril · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Moreirense · Occurred
11 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability48.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.05

Under

Fair probability51.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.95

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 11 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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