SPARKSFootball intelligence
Portugal Primeira LigaArchived snapshot

Estrela Amadora vs Casa Pia prediction

Estrela Amadora
0–2Captured 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Casa Pia
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Estrela Amadora53.8%1.86
Draw25.8%3.88
Casa Pia20.4%4.89
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Estrela Amadora

Fair probability53.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.86

Draw

Fair probability25.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.88

Casa Pia

Fair probability20.4%

Fair odds (decimal)4.89

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Estrela Amadora · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Casa Pia · Occurred
11 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability48.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.04

Under

Fair probability51.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.96

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 11 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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