SPARKSFootball intelligence
Portugal Primeira LigaArchived snapshot

Gil Vicente vs FC Porto prediction

Gil Vicente
0–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
FC Porto
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Gil Vicente13.5%7.39
Draw22.1%4.52
FC Porto64.3%1.55
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Gil Vicente

Fair probability13.5%

Fair odds (decimal)7.39

Draw

Fair probability22.1%

Fair odds (decimal)4.52

FC Porto

Fair probability64.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.55

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
Gil Vicente · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
FC Porto · Occurred
11 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability49.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.03

Under

Fair probability50.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.97

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 11 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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