SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IIArchived snapshot

Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden prediction

Holstein Kiel
3–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Dynamo Dresden
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Holstein Kiel41.0%2.44
Draw25.6%3.90
Dynamo Dresden33.4%2.99
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Holstein Kiel

Fair probability41.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Draw

Fair probability25.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.90

Dynamo Dresden

Fair probability33.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.99

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Holstein Kiel · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Dynamo Dresden · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability59.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.67

Under

Fair probability40.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.48

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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