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Argentina Liga ProfesionalArchived snapshot

Independiente vs Boca Juniors prediction

Independiente
0–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Boca Juniors
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Independiente25.3%3.96
Draw29.9%3.34
Boca Juniors44.8%2.23
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Independiente

Fair probability25.3%

Fair odds (decimal)3.96

Draw

Fair probability29.9%

Fair odds (decimal)3.34

Boca Juniors

Fair probability44.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.23

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Independiente · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Boca Juniors · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability39.2%

Fair odds (decimal)2.55

Under

Fair probability60.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.65

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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