SPARKSFootball intelligence
Italy Serie AArchived snapshot

Inter Milan vs Fiorentina prediction

Inter Milan
2–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Fiorentina
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Inter Milan70.2%1.42
Draw17.2%5.80
Fiorentina12.5%7.98
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Inter Milan

Fair probability70.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.42

Draw

Fair probability17.2%

Fair odds (decimal)5.80

Fiorentina

Fair probability12.5%

Fair odds (decimal)7.98

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Inter Milan · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Fiorentina · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability65.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.52

Under

Fair probability34.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.92

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability46.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.16

Under

Fair probability53.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.86

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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