SPARKSFootball intelligence
England Premier LeagueArchived snapshot

Liverpool vs Brighton prediction

Liverpool
2–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Brighton
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Liverpool45.3%2.21
Draw25.0%4.00
Brighton29.7%3.37
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Liverpool

Fair probability45.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.21

Draw

Fair probability25.0%

Fair odds (decimal)4.00

Brighton

Fair probability29.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.37

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Liverpool · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Brighton · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability61.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.63

Under

Fair probability38.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.59

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability40.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Under

Fair probability59.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.69

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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