SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

Mainz vs Werder Bremen prediction

Mainz
2–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Werder Bremen
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Mainz54.4%1.84
Draw23.4%4.28
Werder Bremen22.2%4.51
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Mainz

Fair probability54.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.84

Draw

Fair probability23.4%

Fair odds (decimal)4.28

Werder Bremen

Fair probability22.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.51

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Mainz · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Werder Bremen · Occurred
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability61.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.63

Under

Fair probability38.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.59

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability40.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Under

Fair probability59.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.69

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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