SPARKSFootball intelligence
England Premier LeagueArchived snapshot

Man Utd vs Bournemouth prediction

Man Utd
0–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Bournemouth
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Man Utd43.1%2.32
Draw26.2%3.81
Bournemouth30.6%3.26
Ask SmartSparks about this match

Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Man Utd

Fair probability43.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.32

Draw

Fair probability26.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.81

Bournemouth

Fair probability30.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.26

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Man Utd · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Bournemouth · Occurred
6 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability57.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.73

Under

Fair probability42.2%

Fair odds (decimal)2.37

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 6 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

Inspect bookmaker prices in Market Explorer →
More England Premier League fixturesToday’s market outlookFull match intelligence

Continue your research

Ask SmartSparks about this matchInspect this match’s bookmaker prices →More England Premier League predictions →