SPARKSFootball intelligence
France Ligue 1Archived snapshot

Marseille vs Le Havre prediction

Marseille
4–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Le Havre
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Marseille60.7%1.65
Draw21.2%4.73
Le Havre18.1%5.52
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Marseille

Fair probability60.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.65

Draw

Fair probability21.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.73

Le Havre

Fair probability18.1%

Fair odds (decimal)5.52

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Marseille · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Le Havre · Did not occur
3 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability60.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.65

Under

Fair probability39.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.54

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 3 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
3 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability39.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.51

Under

Fair probability60.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.66

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 3 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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