SPARKSFootball intelligence
Brazil Serie AArchived snapshot

Mirassol vs Sao Paulo prediction

Mirassol
1–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Sao Paulo
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Mirassol41.0%2.44
Draw28.6%3.49
Sao Paulo30.4%3.29
Ask SmartSparks about this match

Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Mirassol

Fair probability41.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Draw

Fair probability28.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.49

Sao Paulo

Fair probability30.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.29

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Mirassol · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Sao Paulo · Did not occur
8 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability47.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.11

Under

Fair probability52.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.90

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 8 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

Inspect bookmaker prices in Market Explorer →

Continue your research

Ask SmartSparks about this matchInspect this match’s bookmaker prices →More Brazil Serie A predictions →