SPARKSFootball intelligence
Italy Serie BArchived snapshot

Modena vs Cesena prediction

Modena
3–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Cesena
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Modena60.5%1.65
Draw22.8%4.39
Cesena16.7%5.99
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Modena

Fair probability60.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.65

Draw

Fair probability22.8%

Fair odds (decimal)4.39

Cesena

Fair probability16.7%

Fair odds (decimal)5.99

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Modena · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Cesena · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability55.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.81

Under

Fair probability44.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.23

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:15 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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