SPARKSFootball intelligence
France Ligue 1Archived snapshot

Monaco vs Lille prediction

Monaco
1–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Lille
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Monaco45.8%2.18
Draw27.5%3.64
Lille26.8%3.74
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Monaco

Fair probability45.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.18

Draw

Fair probability27.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.64

Lille

Fair probability26.8%

Fair odds (decimal)3.74

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Monaco · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Lille · Did not occur
8 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability52.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.92

Under

Fair probability47.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.09

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 8 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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