SPARKSODDS
Snapshot archiveUpdated 1h 20m ago

Italy Serie A

Napoli vs Frosinone
Predictions & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture

Captured Pre-match market snapshot

Match winner

16 bookmakers

Napoli

65.4%
Fair odds
1.53
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
64.1%–66.7%

Draw

19.9%
Fair odds
5.02
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
19.1%–20.7%

Frosinone

14.7%
Fair odds
6.82
Bookmakers
16
Book probability range
13.7%–15.7%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

2 bookmakers

Over

63.2%
Fair odds
1.58
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
62.8%–63.6%

Under

36.8%
Fair odds
2.72
Bookmakers
2
Book probability range
36.4%–37.2%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Goals · over / under 3.5

4 bookmakers

Over

43.3%
Fair odds
2.31
Bookmakers
4
Book probability range
43.1%–43.7%

Under

56.7%
Fair odds
1.76
Bookmakers
4
Book probability range
56.3%–56.9%

Oldest contributing quote: 8 Oct 2026, 21:40 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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