SPARKSFootball intelligence
Italy Serie AArchived snapshot

Napoli vs Roma prediction

Napoli
3–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Roma
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Napoli35.4%2.83
Draw29.3%3.41
Roma35.3%2.83
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Napoli

Fair probability35.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.83

Draw

Fair probability29.3%

Fair odds (decimal)3.41

Roma

Fair probability35.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.83

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Napoli · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Roma · Did not occur
9 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability52.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.91

Under

Fair probability47.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.10

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 9 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 14:15 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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