SPARKSFootball intelligence
Mexico Liga MXArchived snapshot

Necaxa vs Juarez FC prediction

Necaxa
1–1Captured 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Juarez FC
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Necaxa53.9%1.86
Draw24.9%4.02
Juarez FC21.2%4.71
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Necaxa

Fair probability53.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.86

Draw

Fair probability24.9%

Fair odds (decimal)4.02

Juarez FC

Fair probability21.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.71

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Necaxa · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Juarez FC · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability55.1%

Fair odds (decimal)1.81

Under

Fair probability44.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.23

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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