Uganda Premier League

Ntugasaze FC vs Mbarara City
Predictions & Fair Odds

7 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Upcoming fixture

Captured 7 Oct 2026, 06:38 UTCRefresh overdue · historical prices

Match winner

9 bookmakers

Ntugasaze FC

28.0%

Fair odds: 3.57
Bookmakers: 9
Book probability range: 26.6%–28.8%

Draw

29.0%

Fair odds: 3.45
Bookmakers: 9
Book probability range: 28.3%–30.2%

Mbarara City

43.0%

Fair odds: 2.32
Bookmakers: 9
Book probability range: 41.5%–45.2%

Oldest contributing quote: 7 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC

Goals · over / under 2.5

3 bookmakers

Over

43.7%

Fair odds: 2.29
Bookmakers: 3
Book probability range: 43.5%–44.6%

Under

56.3%

Fair odds: 1.78
Bookmakers: 3
Book probability range: 55.4%–56.5%

Oldest contributing quote: 7 Oct 2026, 06:35 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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