SPARKSFootball intelligence
Brazil Serie BArchived snapshot

Operario PR vs Athletic Club MG prediction

Operario PR
1–0Captured 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
Athletic Club MG
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Operario PR48.3%2.07
Draw28.4%3.53
Athletic Club MG23.3%4.28
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

15 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Operario PR

Fair probability48.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.07

Draw

Fair probability28.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.53

Athletic Club MG

Fair probability23.3%

Fair odds (decimal)4.28

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 15 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
Operario PR · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Athletic Club MG · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability44.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.27

Under

Fair probability56.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.79

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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