SPARKSFootball intelligence

Pachuca vs Cruz Azul prediction

Pachuca
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
Cruz Azul
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Pachuca32.5%3.07
Draw26.5%3.77
Cruz Azul40.9%2.44
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Pachuca

Fair probability32.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.07

Draw

Fair probability26.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.77

Cruz Azul

Fair probability40.9%

Fair odds (decimal)2.44

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability56.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.77

Under

Fair probability43.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.30

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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