SPARKSODDSFootball Intelligence
Snapshot archiveUpdated 2h 29m ago

Public match outlook · Mexico Liga MX

Pachuca vs Necaxa Prediction & Fair Odds

· Upcoming fixture · Market snapshot captured 10 Oct 2026, 21:43 UTC

Captured Refresh overdue · historical prices
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15 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS
Pachuca55.2%1.81
Draw24.1%4.15
Necaxa20.7%4.84
ProbabilityFair odds · reciprocalCoverage · 15 booksOldest quote · 10 Oct 2026, 21:10 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS
Over57.0%1.75
Under43.0%2.33
ProbabilityFair odds · reciprocalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 10 Oct 2026, 21:10 UTC
Probability history

How the market moved

Retained probability history is not published on this page. Open Match Explorer or Ask when history evidence is available for this fixture — no sample chart is shown.

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

Methodology

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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