SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

Paderborn vs Hamburg prediction

Paderborn
1–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Hamburg
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Paderborn39.6%2.52
Draw26.6%3.76
Hamburg33.7%2.96
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Paderborn

Fair probability39.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.52

Draw

Fair probability26.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.76

Hamburg

Fair probability33.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.96

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Paderborn · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Hamburg · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability58.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.70

Under

Fair probability41.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.42

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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