SPARKSFootball intelligence
Italy Serie BArchived snapshot

Palermo vs Carrarese prediction

Palermo
2–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Carrarese
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Palermo63.4%1.58
Draw20.8%4.81
Carrarese15.8%6.32
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Palermo

Fair probability63.4%

Fair odds (decimal)1.58

Draw

Fair probability20.8%

Fair odds (decimal)4.81

Carrarese

Fair probability15.8%

Fair odds (decimal)6.32

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Palermo · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Carrarese · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability60.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.64

Under

Fair probability39.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.56

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability40.5%

Fair odds (decimal)2.47

Under

Fair probability59.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.68

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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