SPARKSFootball intelligence

Puebla vs Monterrey prediction

Puebla
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
Monterrey
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Puebla25.2%3.97
Draw26.0%3.84
Monterrey48.8%2.05
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Puebla

Fair probability25.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.97

Draw

Fair probability26.0%

Fair odds (decimal)3.84

Monterrey

Fair probability48.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.05

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC
7 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability52.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.91

Under

Fair probability47.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.10

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 7 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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