SPARKSFootball intelligence
Mexico Liga MXArchived snapshot

Queretaro vs Cruz Azul prediction

Queretaro
VSCaptured 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
Cruz Azul
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Queretaro27.0%3.70
Draw25.4%3.94
Cruz Azul47.6%2.10
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Queretaro

Fair probability27.0%

Fair odds (decimal)3.70

Draw

Fair probability25.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.94

Cruz Azul

Fair probability47.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.10

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability57.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.75

Under

Fair probability42.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.34

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:45 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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