Match winner
Rayo Vallecano
Fair probability54.4%
Fair odds (decimal)1.84
Draw
Fair probability24.8%
Fair odds (decimal)4.04
Elche
Fair probability20.8%
Fair odds (decimal)4.81
No recorded probability history available for this match.
Fair probability54.4%
Fair odds (decimal)1.84
Fair probability24.8%
Fair odds (decimal)4.04
Fair probability20.8%
Fair odds (decimal)4.81
Fair probability53.1%
Fair odds (decimal)1.88
Fair probability46.9%
Fair odds (decimal)2.13
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.
Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
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