SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

RB Leipzig vs Elversberg prediction

RB Leipzig
4–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Elversberg
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
RB Leipzig67.6%1.48
Draw17.8%5.62
Elversberg14.6%6.84
Ask SmartSparks about this match

Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

RB Leipzig

Fair probability67.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.48

Draw

Fair probability17.8%

Fair odds (decimal)5.62

Elversberg

Fair probability14.6%

Fair odds (decimal)6.84

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
RB Leipzig · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Elversberg · Did not occur
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability73.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.36

Under

Fair probability26.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.78

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability56.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.78

Under

Fair probability43.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.28

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

Inspect bookmaker prices in Market Explorer →
More Germany Bundesliga I fixturesToday’s market outlookFull match intelligence

Continue your research

Ask SmartSparks about this matchInspect this match’s bookmaker prices →More Germany Bundesliga I predictions →