SPARKSFootball intelligence
Portugal Primeira LigaArchived snapshot

Rio Ave vs Famalicao prediction

Rio Ave
0–4Captured 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Famalicao
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Rio Ave25.5%3.92
Draw28.4%3.52
Famalicao46.1%2.17
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Rio Ave

Fair probability25.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.92

Draw

Fair probability28.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.52

Famalicao

Fair probability46.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.17

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Rio Ave · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Famalicao · Occurred
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability46.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.17

Under

Fair probability53.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.85

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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