SPARKSFootball intelligence

San Lorenzo vs Newell's prediction

San Lorenzo
0–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Newell's
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
San Lorenzo37.1%2.69
Draw33.2%3.01
Newell's29.7%3.37
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

San Lorenzo

Fair probability37.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.69

Draw

Fair probability33.2%

Fair odds (decimal)3.01

Newell's

Fair probability29.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.37

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
San Lorenzo · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Newell's · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 1.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability59.2%

Fair odds (decimal)1.69

Under

Fair probability40.8%

Fair odds (decimal)2.45

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability33.0%

Fair odds (decimal)3.03

Under

Fair probability67.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.49

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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