SPARKSFootball intelligence
Brazil Serie AArchived snapshot

Santos vs Bahia prediction

Santos
1–1Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Bahia
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Santos51.0%1.96
Draw24.2%4.13
Bahia24.8%4.04
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Santos

Fair probability51.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.96

Draw

Fair probability24.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.13

Bahia

Fair probability24.8%

Fair odds (decimal)4.04

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Santos · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Bahia · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability59.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.67

Under

Fair probability40.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.48

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:15 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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