SPARKSFootball intelligence
Brazil Serie BArchived snapshot

Sao Bernardo vs Vila Nova prediction

Sao Bernardo
3–2Captured 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Vila Nova
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Sao Bernardo31.0%3.23
Draw30.6%3.27
Vila Nova38.4%2.60
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Sao Bernardo

Fair probability31.0%

Fair odds (decimal)3.23

Draw

Fair probability30.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.27

Vila Nova

Fair probability38.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.60

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Sao Bernardo · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Vila Nova · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability41.1%

Fair odds (decimal)2.43

Under

Fair probability58.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.70

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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