SPARKSFootball intelligence
Germany Bundesliga IArchived snapshot

SC Freiburg vs Bayern Munich prediction

SC Freiburg
1–3Captured 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
Bayern Munich
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
SC Freiburg14.7%6.80
Draw16.4%6.08
Bayern Munich68.9%1.45
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

SC Freiburg

Fair probability14.7%

Fair odds (decimal)6.80

Draw

Fair probability16.4%

Fair odds (decimal)6.08

Bayern Munich

Fair probability68.9%

Fair odds (decimal)1.45

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
SC Freiburg · Did not occur
Draw · Did not occur
Bayern Munich · Occurred
2 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability75.8%

Fair odds (decimal)1.32

Under

Fair probability24.2%

Fair odds (decimal)4.14

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 2 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur
4 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 3.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability57.6%

Fair odds (decimal)1.74

Under

Fair probability42.4%

Fair odds (decimal)2.36

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 4 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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