Match winner
Southampton
Fair probability59.1%
Fair odds (decimal)1.69
Draw
Fair probability22.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.45
Portsmouth
Fair probability18.4%
Fair odds (decimal)5.42
Public match outlook · England Championship
· Upcoming fixture · Market snapshot captured 10 Oct 2026, 21:43 UTC
Fair probability59.1%
Fair odds (decimal)1.69
Fair probability22.5%
Fair odds (decimal)4.45
Fair probability18.4%
Fair odds (decimal)5.42
Fair probability57.2%
Fair odds (decimal)1.75
Fair probability42.8%
Fair odds (decimal)2.34
Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.
Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.
Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.
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