SPARKSFootball intelligence
Brazil Serie BArchived snapshot

Sport Recife vs Criciuma prediction

Sport Recife
2–1Captured 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Criciuma
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Sport Recife32.4%3.09
Draw28.6%3.50
Criciuma39.0%2.56
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Sport Recife

Fair probability32.4%

Fair odds (decimal)3.09

Draw

Fair probability28.6%

Fair odds (decimal)3.50

Criciuma

Fair probability39.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.56

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Sport Recife · Occurred
Draw · Did not occur
Criciuma · Did not occur
9 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability47.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.13

Under

Fair probability53.0%

Fair odds (decimal)1.89

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 9 booksOldest quote · 23 Oct 2026, 21:01 UTC
Over · Occurred
Under · Did not occur

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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