SPARKSODDSFootball Intelligence
Snapshot archiveUpdated 1h 57m ago

Public match outlook · Brazil Serie B

Sport Recife vs Fortaleza Prediction & Fair Odds

· Archived pre-match probabilities · Market snapshot captured 16 Oct 2026, 22:05 UTC

Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
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15 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Sport Recife

Fair probability34.0%

Fair odds (decimal)2.94

Draw

Fair probability29.3%

Fair odds (decimal)3.41

Fortaleza

Fair probability36.7%

Fair odds (decimal)2.73

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 15 booksOldest quote · 16 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability44.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.26

Under

Fair probability55.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.80

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 16 Oct 2026, 21:30 UTC
Probability history

How the market moved

Retained probability history is not published on this page. Open Matches or Ask when history is available for this fixture.

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

Methodology

How to read Sparks Market Probability

Sparks Market Probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated bookmaker margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market. We take the median probability for each outcome, then normalize the outcomes to total 100%.

Sparks Fair Odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage uses at least two bookmakers, with quote ages limited to 90 minutes when captured. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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