SPARKSFootball intelligence
England ChampionshipArchived snapshot

Stoke vs Bristol City prediction

Stoke
0–0Captured 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Bristol City
Captured Historical snapshot · not live odds
Stoke39.6%2.53
Draw28.9%3.46
Bristol City31.5%3.17
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Stoke

Fair probability39.6%

Fair odds (decimal)2.53

Draw

Fair probability28.9%

Fair odds (decimal)3.46

Bristol City

Fair probability31.5%

Fair odds (decimal)3.17

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Stoke · Did not occur
Draw · Occurred
Bristol City · Did not occur
5 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability45.3%

Fair odds (decimal)2.21

Under

Fair probability54.7%

Fair odds (decimal)1.83

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 5 booksOldest quote · 24 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
Over · Did not occur
Under · Occurred

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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