SPARKSFootball intelligence

Tigres UANL vs Leon prediction

Tigres UANL
VSCaptured 20 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC
Leon
Captured Pre-match market snapshot
Tigres UANL50.3%1.99
Draw25.7%3.90
Leon24.1%4.15
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Probability history

No recorded probability history available for this match.

16 bookmakers · consensus

Match winner

CONSENSUS

Tigres UANL

Fair probability50.3%

Fair odds (decimal)1.99

Draw

Fair probability25.7%

Fair odds (decimal)3.90

Leon

Fair probability24.1%

Fair odds (decimal)4.15

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 16 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC
6 bookmakers · consensus

Goals · over / under 2.5

CONSENSUS

Over

Fair probability53.5%

Fair odds (decimal)1.87

Under

Fair probability46.5%

Fair odds (decimal)2.15

Fair probability · consensusFair odds · decimalCoverage · 6 booksOldest quote · 20 Oct 2026, 05:30 UTC

Unlisted markets did not have sufficient eligible evidence at capture. Rounded percentages may differ from 100% by 0.1 points.

How probabilities are built

Market probability is derived from consensus bookmaker prices after removing estimated margin. Each bookmaker must quote the complete market; we take the median outcome probability and normalize to 100%.

Fair odds are the reciprocal of that probability. Coverage requires at least two bookmakers, and quote age is limited before capture. Prices can change after capture. This is a market estimate, not an AI forecast or a guarantee.

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